{"id":1461,"date":"2008-12-29T21:45:55","date_gmt":"2008-12-29T21:45:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/2008\/12\/29\/irana-saldiri-senaryolari-ve-sonuclari\/"},"modified":"2008-12-29T21:45:55","modified_gmt":"2008-12-29T21:45:55","slug":"irana-saldiri-senaryolari-ve-sonuclari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/2009\/ocak-2009\/irana-saldiri-senaryolari-ve-sonuclari\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130RAN&#8217;A SALDIRI SENARYOLARI VE SONU\u00c7LARI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Hat\u0131rlanaca\u011f\u0131 gibi, bay Recep T. Erdo\u011fan ABD &#8220;umre&#8221;si sonras\u0131nda Hindistan&#8217;a gitmi\u015fti. Bu ziyaretin, &#8220;Yahudi Lobilerinin talimat\u0131yla yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Amerikan\u0131n \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na destek arand\u0131\u011f\u0131&#8221; \u015feklindeki tahminlerimiz ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Recep Ba\u015fbakan Hindistana bir &#8220;teklif&#8221;, bir de &#8220;tehdit&#8221;le g\u00f6nderilmi\u015fti.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Teklif: ABD&#8217;nin \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na dolayl\u0131 da olsa destek sa\u011flar, limanlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ve gerekirse \u00fcslerinizi kulland\u0131r\u0131rsan\u0131z, Bak\u00fc- Ceyhan \u00fczerinden \u0130srail Hayfa&#8217;ya ula\u015facak petrol ve do\u011fal gaz hatt\u0131n\u0131 Hindistan&#8217;a uzat\u0131r\u0131z. Sizde daha ba\u015fka imkan ve avantajlar sa\u011flar\u0131z.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> <\/p>\n<p><strong>Tehdit: Yok e\u011fer, bu teklife yana\u015fmaz da; \u0130ran, Rusya ve \u00c7in cephesinde yer al\u0131rsan\u0131z; \u00fclkenizde M\u00fcsl\u00fcman-Hindu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 anar\u015fik olaylar\u0131 ve isyanlar\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rt\u0131r, Pakistanla aran\u0131zda sava\u015f \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131r\u0131z!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bombay&#8217;da 200 ki\u015finin \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ve y\u00fczlerce insan\u0131n yaralanmas\u0131yla sonu\u00e7lanan ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131, Hindistan&#8217;\u0131n bu teklifi ve tehditleri kabul etmedi\u011fini g\u00f6stermekteydi.<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Bombal\u0131 ve silahl\u0131 kanl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcya \u0130slamc\u0131 ter\u00f6ristlerce ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi\u011fi<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Bunlar\u0131n Pakistandan y\u00f6netildi\u011fi<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>ABD ve \u0130ngiliz vizelilerin ve \u00f6zellikle Yahudilerin hedef se\u00e7ildi\u011fi&#8230;<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Ter\u00f6ristlerin kimlik kontrol\u00fc, hatta pantolonlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131y\u0131rt\u0131p &#8220;s\u00fcnnet tespiti&#8221; yapt\u0131klar\u0131 ve M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlara dokunmad\u0131klar\u0131 s\u00f6ylentilerinin, tamamen hesapl\u0131 ve kas\u0131tl\u0131 haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve su\u00e7un M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlara y\u0131k\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 her halinden sezilmekteydi ve zaten b\u00f6yle bir operasyonun, ancak ABD ve \u0130srail taraf\u0131ndan, CIA ve Mossad eliyle yap\u0131labilece\u011fi, tarafs\u0131z uzmanlar\u0131n ortak kanaatiydi. \u00dcstelik, El-kaide bile CIA&#8217;n\u0131n g\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fcnde de\u011fil miydi?<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Ama ne var ki; \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 olu\u015facak yeni bir cepheyi etkisiz k\u0131lmak ve Rusya&#8217;y\u0131 Kafkasyada u\u011fra\u015ft\u0131rmak hevesiyle, Saaka\u015ffiliyi Osetya&#8217;ya sokan ABD, nas\u0131l bir hezimet ve rezalete u\u011frad\u0131ysa, Hindistan k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtmalar\u0131n\u0131n da \u00f6ylesine ters tepece\u011fi kesindi. Zaten, Milli T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin, bu olay\u0131n hemen ard\u0131ndan ABD&#8217;nin bile el s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131ramad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Afganistan ve Pakistan liderlerini, \u0130stanbul&#8217;a \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131p kucakla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 Hindistan&#8217;daki baz\u0131 sava\u015f \u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131rtkanlar\u0131n\u0131 ve Siyonist kuklalar\u0131n\u0131 sindirmeye yetmi\u015fti.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>E. Pilot Albay Z\u00fcbeyir Batur &#8220;\u0130ran&#8217;da K\u0131yamet Senaryolar\u0131&#8221; \u0130simli bir kitap yazm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<a name=\"_ftnref1\" href=\"#_ftn1\" title=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a> Kitapta Ortado\u011fu&#8217;yu ve Yurdumuzu ilgilendiren bir\u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bilgi ve belge yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dclkemize ve b\u00f6lgemize y\u00f6nelik, emperyalist ku\u015fatma konusuna da k\u0131smen \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutmaktayd\u0131. Ancak, b\u00f6lge bar\u0131\u015f\u0131na ve T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k ve bekas\u0131na en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit ve tehlike olarak, \u0130srail Siyonizmini ve ABD emperyalizmini de\u011fil de, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131 g\u00f6sterme gayretleri hem bir \u00e7arp\u0131tmayd\u0131, hem de mide buland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131yd\u0131. \u0130srail&#8217;in elinde bulunan ve tamam\u0131na yak\u0131n\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye y\u00f6nelik konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131lan n\u00fckleer f\u00fczelerin de\u011fil de, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n, b\u00f6yle gitmesine m\u00fcsaade edilse bile y\u0131llar sonra ancak \u00fcretilece\u011fi atom bombas\u0131n\u0131n; &#8220;kap\u0131m\u0131za dayanm\u0131\u015f korkun\u00e7 bir k\u0131yamet sebebi&#8221; gibi alg\u0131lanmas\u0131, do\u011frusu kafa kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ama her \u015feye ra\u011fmen, \u0130srail&#8217;in Siyonist hevesleri ve ABD&#8217;nin emperyalist hedefleri ve bunlar\u0131n yak\u0131n gelecekte hangi giri\u015fimleri tetikleyece\u011fi konusunda, kitapta \u00f6nemli ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 bulunmaktayd\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte onlardan baz\u0131lar\u0131 ve yorumlar\u0131:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Siyonistlerin iddias\u0131 \u015funlardan olu\u015fuyordu:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 global ter\u00f6rizmin ba\u015fl\u0131ca hedefi Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri&#8217;dir. ABD&#8217;nin Kanada, Meksika s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 ve sahilleri ayn\u0131 uyu\u015fturucu ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 gibi yasad\u0131\u015f\u0131 giri\u015flere fevkalade m\u00fcsaittir. Bir atom bombas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli olan n\u00fckleer malzeme yakla\u015f\u0131k 10-12 kilogramd\u0131r, yani bir futbol topu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndedir. \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n bu malzemeyi ABD&#8217;ye sokmas\u0131 bilahare bunlar\u0131 bir araya getirmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn ve muhtemeldir. Atomik bomban\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131 olduk\u00e7a kolay hale gelmi\u015ftir. \u0130ran bomba temininde Hizbullah&#8217;la yak\u0131n i\u015fbirli\u011fi i\u00e7erisindedir. Bu bomba ABD hudutlar\u0131ndan girebilir, d\u00fcnyada SCUD f\u00fczelerinden binlercesi vard\u0131r ve \u0130ran bu f\u00fczelere sahiptir. Bunun yan\u0131nda \u0130ran kendisi uzun menzilli f\u00fczeler \u00fcretmi\u015ftir. Bu f\u00fczeler gemilere gizlice monte edilerek ABD sular\u0131na girebilir. ABD Deniz Kuvvetleri, a\u00e7\u0131k denizlerde gere\u011fi kadar ke\u015fif yapmakta yetersizdir. Esasen pratikte bu imk\u00e2n dahilinde de de\u011fildir, her g\u00fcn binlerce gemi ABD sular\u0131na giri\u015f yapmak mecburiyetindedir.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6yle bir gemiden New York&#8217;un birka\u00e7 y\u00fcz mil a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan n\u00fckleer ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir f\u00fczenin at\u0131lmas\u0131 hi\u00e7 de zor g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir. El Kaide ve Hizbullah ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctlerinin arkas\u0131na s\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131p kendisini de saklayabilir. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar muhtemel senaryolar olmakla beraber imk\u00e2n d\u0131\u015f\u0131 da de\u011fildir. Halen \u0130ran Deniz Kuvvetlerinde bulunan dizel denizalt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n menzilleri ABD kara sular\u0131na eri\u015febilecek kabiliyettedir ve bu denizalt\u0131lar deniz alt\u0131ndan f\u00fcze atma kabiliyetine sahiptir ayn\u0131 kabiliyet Kuzey Kore i\u00e7inde ge\u00e7erlidir. \u0130mal ettikleri f\u00fczelerin menzilleri Alaska ve Hawaii&#8217;yi kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilinmektedir. <strong>Son y\u0131llarda bu varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karacak olaylar ya\u015fana gelmi\u015ftir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ran, son L\u00fcbnan-\u0130srail Sava\u015f\u0131&#8217;nda, L\u00fcbnan&#8217;dan \u0130srail&#8217;e 4000 civar\u0131nda f\u00fcze att\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenmektedir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ran y\u00f6netiminin bildirilerinde: &#8220;52.000 intihar bombac\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, bat\u0131y\u0131 ve \u00f6zellikle ABD ve \u0130srail&#8217;e g\u00f6nderilmeye haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131&#8221; a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ilan edilmi\u015ftir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer silaha sahip olmas\u0131 halinde S\u00fcnni Suudi Arabistan&#8217;da bu silaha sahip olmak isteyebilir. \u0130ran&#8217;a kom\u015fu t\u00fcm S\u00fcnni Arap \u00fclkeleri \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n f\u00fczelerinin menzilleri i\u00e7erisindeler.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>ClA&#8217;ye g\u00f6re \u0130ran 10 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde atom bombas\u0131na sahip olacakt\u0131r. Ruslara g\u00f6re ise bu s\u00fcre 1 y\u0131ld\u0131r, di\u011fer yak\u0131n g\u00f6zlemcilere g\u00f6re ise halen bu silaha sahiptir. Esasen \u0130ran y\u00f6netiminin son beyanlar\u0131ndaki meydan okuma tavr\u0131 da bunu do\u011frular mahiyettedir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ran, ABD veya \u0130srail&#8217;den veya her ikisinden gelebilecek sald\u0131r\u0131da b\u00f6lgedeki m\u00fcttefiklerini de i\u00e7erisine alabilecek n\u00fckleer sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>ABD&#8217;nin kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlar\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, Irak&#8217;ta b\u00f6l\u00fcnmeyi \u00f6nleyememektir. \u00dclkede \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck toplum vard\u0131r, %60 n\u00fcfusa sahip, \u015eiiler ki Irak&#8217;\u0131n petrol ve ziraat olarak en verimli olan g\u00fcneyinde, %5-10 az\u0131nl\u0131kla K\u00fcrtler Kerk\u00fck ve Musul petrol b\u00f6lgelerinin de i\u00e7erisinde bulundu\u011fu kuzeyde geri kalan %30 S\u00fcnni topluluk ise orta b\u00f6lgelerdedir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Kuzey Irak&#8217;a kom\u015fu T\u00fcrkiye, Suriye ve \u0130ran, K\u00fcrtlerin, Kerk\u00fck ile b\u00f6lgede g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ileride ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir K\u00fcrt devletinin kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 istememektedirler. Bu \u00fclkelerde bulunan az\u0131nl\u0131k K\u00fcrt n\u00fcfusu K\u00fcrt devletinin kurulmas\u0131nda sorun yaratabilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2007 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle g\u00fcnl\u00fck 300 milyon dolarl\u0131k petrol gelirinin \u00f6nemli bir miktar\u0131 n\u00fckleer silahlanma yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na ve uluslararas\u0131 ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctlerini desteklemeye harcanmaktad\u0131r. Hizbullah, Hamas ve \u0130slami Cihad ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctleri \u0130ran taraf\u0131ndan olu\u015fturulan fonlardan desteklenmektedir. Denilebilir ki \u0130ran, d\u00fcnyada global ter\u00f6rizmin en etkin bi\u00e7imde sponsorlu\u011funu yapmaktad\u0131r. Her \u00fc\u00e7 ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc ile de birlikte koordineli bir \u015fekilde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ad\u0131 ge\u00e7en ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctleri bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc olarak bilinmelerine kar\u015f\u0131n Ortado\u011fu&#8217;da ABD ve b\u00f6lgedeki di\u011fer bat\u0131l\u0131 koalisyon g\u00fc\u00e7lerine kar\u015f\u0131 direni\u015f g\u00f6steren \u00fclkeler taraf\u0131ndan sevilmekte ve destek verilmektedir. Hizbullah \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc L\u00fcbnan&#8217;da H\u0131ristiyan gruplar taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131k olarak \u0130srail&#8217;e kar\u015f\u0131 destek almaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Allah&#8217;\u0131n partisi anlam\u0131na gelen Hizbullah, \u00f6zellikle 1979&#8217;da \u0130ran&#8217;da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen devrimden sonra \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n Ortado\u011fu&#8217;daki gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik stratejilerinin de bir arac\u0131 olmu\u015ftur. Ortado\u011fu&#8217;da birka\u00e7 defa etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara sahne olan L\u00fcbnan&#8217;da H\u0131ristiyan az\u0131nl\u0131klar dahi Hizbullah&#8217;a destek \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>1979 da bir anlamda \u015eii Devrimi de denilen devrim t\u00fcm Ortado\u011fu&#8217;da \u015eiili\u011fin yasalla\u015fmas\u0131nda da bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 olmu\u015ftur, ana gaye \u0130srail&#8217;in b\u00f6lgedeki yay\u0131lmac\u0131 politikas\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rmakt\u0131r, bu noktada ortak payda ortak ama\u00e7t\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta \u015eaha kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015fanlar\u0131n parolas\u0131 olan Allah&#8217;\u0131n partisi slogan\u0131 (Hizbullah) bilahare \u0130srail kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 hareketin slogan\u0131 olmu\u015f ve t\u00fcm Ortado\u011fu&#8217;nun sorunu haline ta\u015f\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>ABD istihbarat kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmelerine g\u00f6re, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131 geli\u015ftirme programlar\u0131n\u0131 durdu\u011funa dair haberleri, \u0130srail&#8217;in, \u0130ran&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 alanda ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatacakt\u0131r. Bu raporlar ABD&#8217;nin olas\u0131 bir askeri harek\u00e2t\u0131n\u0131 da zay\u0131flatmaktad\u0131r, bu durumda \u0130srail, tehdidin tehlikeli boyutlara gelmesi halinde tek ba\u015f\u0131na kalaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesini ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130srail istihbarat kaynaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u0130ran n\u00fckleer program\u0131na ciddi boyutlarda devam etmektedir. \u0130ran \u0130slamik rejiminin stratejisi, \u0130srail&#8217;in Ortado\u011fu&#8217;daki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na son verme esas\u0131 \u00fczerine kurulmu\u015ftur, uzun menzilli balistik f\u00fczelere sahip olma hedefinin gerisinde yatan ger\u00e7ek de budur. \u0130srail ise \u0130ran&#8217;daki silahlanman\u0131n tehdit boyutlar\u0131na ula\u015fmadan \u00f6nlenmesini her platformda, bat\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne koymaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa g\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, ne G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi, ne de Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Te\u015fkilat\u0131, \u0130ran \u00fczerine yapt\u0131r\u0131m uygulamalar\u0131 etkili olamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Art\u0131k \u00fclkeler; uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir\u00e7ok b\u00f6lgesinde s\u00fcregelen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ge\u00e7 de olsa anlam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r, K\u0131br\u0131s, Ke\u015fmir, Kenya, Somali, L\u00fcbnan, bunun tipik \u00f6rnekleri say\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer silah programlar\u0131n\u0131 durdurdu\u011funu bildirdi\u011fi 2002 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bug\u00fcne kadar 4 y\u0131l ge\u00e7mi\u015f ve ABD ile Tahran aras\u0131ndaki gerilim nispeten azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak \u0130srail makamlar\u0131na g\u00f6re ger\u00e7ek durum; s\u00f6ylenenden daha ciddi boyutlardad\u0131r, \u0130srail Savunma Bakan\u0131n\u0131n beyanlar\u0131na g\u00f6re; \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer programlar\u0131 devam etmektedir ve \u0130srail, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n arka taraf\u0131ndaki, (bu da ABD oluyor), \u00fclkenin istihbarat\u0131na g\u00f6re hareket edemeyece\u011fini zaten a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ran&#8217;da N\u00fckleer D\u00f6nem Ba\u015fl\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kozu \u00c7in&#8217;dir, o \u00c7in ki her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda \u00f6nlenemez y\u00fckseli\u015fi ile daha \u015fimdiden d\u00fcnyada ikinci s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 olma yolunda \u00f6nemli ad\u0131mlar atm\u0131\u015f ve itibar kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Kuzey Kore ile yap\u0131lan ve n\u00fckleer tesislerin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin alt\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde de a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koymu\u015f ve Kuzey Kore h\u00fck\u00fcmetini ikna edebilmi\u015ftir. \u00c7in, \u0130ran ile imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015fma ile \u0130ran&#8217;a yapaca\u011f\u0131 70 milyar dolarl\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131m kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, 250 milyon ton s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011falgaz\u0131 30 y\u0131l s\u00fcre ile garanti alt\u0131na alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Buna ilaveten, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n, Irak hududuna yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgesindeki petrol yataklar\u0131ndan g\u00fcnde 150.000 varil ham petrol\u00fcn 25 y\u0131l s\u00fcre ile \u00c7in&#8217;e nakli, anla\u015fmaya ba\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Hindistan, \u0130ran&#8217;la \u00c7in benzeri bir anla\u015fma ile 25 y\u0131ll\u0131k anla\u015fma imzalayarak \u0130ran pazar\u0131nda, \u00c7in ile e\u015fit \u015fartlarla s\u00f6z sahibi olmu\u015ftur. Her y\u0131l 7,5 milyon ton s\u0131v\u0131 gaz kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u0130ran&#8217;da Yadavaran da dahil olmak \u00fczere muhtelif yerlerdeki petrol sahalar\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda bulunacakt\u0131r. Gerek \u00c7in ve gerekse Hindistan&#8217;\u0131n \u0130ran&#8217;la yapt\u0131klar\u0131 bu anla\u015fmalar stratejik anlamda \u0130ran&#8217;a avantajlar sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler ve G\u00fcvenlik Konseyinde de g\u00fc\u00e7 ve destek sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r, bu anla\u015fmalar\u0131n ABD&#8217;nin \u0130ran&#8217;a uygulamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ambargoya da tepki niteli\u011finde oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. \u00c7in&#8217;in G\u00fcvenlik Konseyinin daimi \u00fcye olmas\u0131 ve \u0130ran&#8217;la yukar\u0131da ad\u0131 ge\u00e7en anla\u015fmalar sonu\u00e7 vermi\u015f ve \u00c7in&#8217;in, g\u00fcvenlik konseyindeki oylamada; \u0130ran&#8217;a ambargoyu veto etti\u011fi hat\u0131rlanacakt\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Sava\u015f Kesin Ama \u0130lk Kimin Sald\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 Tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ortado\u011fu&#8217;da sava\u015f trampetleri \u00e7almaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, orta menzilli \u015eahap-3, \u015eahap-4 f\u00fczeleri ve n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131 ile \u0130ran, cezaland\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 hak etmi\u015ftir. D\u00fcnya, en az\u0131ndan Amerikan kamuoyunu olas\u0131 bir m\u00fcdahaleye kar\u015f\u0131 programlamak, se\u00e7im kampanyalar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm h\u0131z\u0131yla devam etti\u011fi meydanlarda \u0130ran, ba\u015fkan Bush&#8217;un en \u00f6nemli slogan\u0131 haline gelmi\u015ftir. Ancak ba\u015fkan\u0131n, Irak&#8217;taki direni\u015f\u00e7ilerin ellerinde \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 silahlar\u0131n, Amerikan askerlerine kar\u015f\u0131 kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddias\u0131, bizzat en \u00fcst r\u00fctbede generaller taraf\u0131ndan yalanlanm\u0131\u015f, b\u00f6ylece ortaya, y\u00f6netimin zirvesinde, yeni Irak stratejilerinin \u015fekillendi\u011fi bir ortamda esasen bilinen fikir ayr\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Gerek ABD kamuoyunun genel temay\u00fcl\u00fcn\u00fcn sava\u015f kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi, gerekse, d\u00fcnya kamuoyunda, ABD&#8217;nin l\u00fczumsuz m\u00fcdahaleci ve sald\u0131rgan stratejilerine kar\u015f\u0131 uyanan infial, ABD&#8217;nin \u0130ran&#8217;a direkt m\u00fcdahalesinin \u00f6n\u00fcnde en b\u00fcy\u00fck engeli olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Esasen, 1981 y\u0131l\u0131nda Humeyni&#8217;nin y\u00f6netimi d\u00f6neminde, Amerika&#8217;n\u0131n Tahran B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011finde haftalarca rehin tutulan 64 Amerikal\u0131y\u0131 kurtarmak i\u00e7in icra edilen operasyon tam bir fiyaskoyla sonu\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015f ve \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n orta b\u00f6lgesinde bulunan eski bir meydana indirilen deniz piyadelerini ta\u015f\u0131yan a\u011f\u0131r nakliye u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7arp\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 sonucu operasyonun, ba\u015flamadan sona ermesinin etkileri halen zihinlerden silinmemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Nihayet \u0130ran, Irak de\u011fildir, silahlanan, silah ve m\u00fchimmat\u0131n\u0131 kendi imal eden, \u00fclke derinli\u011fi nedeniyle, savunmaya fevkalade m\u00fcsait g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir orduya sahiptir.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran molla y\u00f6netiminin milli stratejisi, Siyonizm&#8217;i yok etme esas\u0131 \u00fczerine kuruludur. Mollalar\u0131n, Kud\u00fcs&#8217;\u00fcn kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131 ve Filistin&#8217;in i\u015fgal alt\u0131ndaki Ken&#8217;an topraklar\u0131na kavu\u015fturulmas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fmez hedeftir. \u0130srail i\u00e7in tek bir n\u00fckleer silah yeterlidir, Tel Aviv \u00fczerine patlat\u0131lacak b\u00f6yle bir bomba; ilk saniyelerde 300-500.000 insan\u0131n yok olmas\u0131na neden olacak ve 100-150 kilometre \u00e7ap\u0131nda bir b\u00f6lge i\u00e7erisine t\u00fcm altyap\u0131 tesisleri, muhabere sistemleri i\u015flevlerini yitireceklerdir. N\u00fckleer bomban\u0131n hedef b\u00f6lgesine at\u0131lmas\u0131 bir f\u00fcze ile olabilece\u011fi gibi, intihar komandolar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile bir kamyon, otomobil ile de m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. 7 Ekim 1997&#8217;de Rusya Milli G\u00fcvenlik Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Alexander Lebed&#8217;in Amerikan CBS televizyonu ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6yle\u015fide; i\u00e7erisinde 1 kilo\/tonluk n\u00fckleer bombalar\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 250 adet el \u00e7antas\u0131ndan 100 adedinin \u00e7al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015f, bunlar\u0131n, \u015fehirlerin kalabal\u0131k i\u015f saatlerinde infilak ettirilmeleri halinde her birinin 100-150.000 insan\u0131n \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne neden olabileceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu \u00e7antalar bir \u00e7ocu\u011fun dahi ta\u015f\u0131yabilece\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck ve a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131ktad\u0131r. N\u00fckleer silah piyasas\u0131n\u0131n, kokain piyasas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc b\u00f6yle bir ortamda, d\u00fcnyam\u0131z\u0131n ne denli bir tehlike ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. K\u00fcresel kirlenmenin s\u00fcratlendirdi\u011fi \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f, n\u00fckleer ba\u015f\u0131bo\u015flukla bir araya geldi\u011finde, muhtemel son, \u00f6nceden tahmin edilen 2050&#8217;li y\u0131llardan \u00f6ne \u00e7ekilerek 2020&#8217;li y\u0131llara kadar dayanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz sonun i\u015faretleri 2006&#8217;l\u0131 y\u0131llardan itibaren a\u00e7\u0131k se\u00e7ik g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131da da i\u015faret edildi\u011fi gibi, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n elinde kendi geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi \u015eahap-3 ve \u015eahap-4 f\u00fczelerinin menzilleri 2000-3000 kilometredir ve \u0130srail&#8217;in elindeki JER\u0130CHO-2 balistik f\u00fczelerin menzilinden daha fazlad\u0131r ve \u0130srail f\u00fczelerinin menzillerinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ran, Ortado\u011fu&#8217;da en geni\u015f balistik f\u00fcze stoklar\u0131na sahiptir. F\u00fczelerin geli\u015ftirilmesinde Rusya, \u00c7in, Kuzey Kore, Pakistan ve di\u011fer baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerden teknolojiler sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f ve halen de bu destek devam etmektedir. 2004&#8217;ten itibaren \u015eahap-4 ve Ghadr f\u00fczelerinin geli\u015ftirilmesi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na ge\u00e7ilmi\u015f, bunun sonucu olarak; Ghadr f\u00fczelerinin menzilleri 2500 kilometre, \u015eahap-4 f\u00fczelerinin menzilleri 3000 kilometreye \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, b\u00f6ylece ad\u0131 ge\u00e7en f\u00fczelerin \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n bat\u0131 hudutlar\u0131na konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde Balkanlar\u0131 ve Sina&#8217;y\u0131 i\u00e7erisine alabilecek bir etkinlik sahas\u0131na eri\u015filmi\u015ftir. Balistik f\u00fczelere n\u00fckleer dahil klasik genel maksat bombalar\u0131, kimyasal ve biyolojik ba\u015fl\u0131klar y\u00fcklenebilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ran, sald\u0131r\u0131ya u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde, \u0130srail&#8217;i hedef alan balistik f\u00fczeleri ile derhal ve en a\u011f\u0131r \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verece\u011fini ve bu g\u00fcce sahip oldu\u011funu her f\u0131rsatta a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ilan etmi\u015ftir. \u0130ran&#8217;a ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek ABD, \u0130srail ortak sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 daha \u00f6nceki b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerde de izah edildi\u011fi gibi her iki \u00fclkede ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getirecektir, bu noktada planlamac\u0131lar\u0131 en \u00e7ok endi\u015feye sevk eden husus da budur. \u0130ran, Rusya ile imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015fmalar ile Tahran&#8217;dan ba\u015flamak \u00fczere \u00fclkenin \u00f6nemli stratejik b\u00f6lgelerinde hava savunma a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn geni\u015fletmektedir. Rus yap\u0131m\u0131 TOR M-1 anti f\u00fczelerinden 29 adedi ilk etapta Tahran etraf\u0131nda konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130ran ayr\u0131ca bir casus uydusu olan S\u0130NAH-1&#8217;i y\u00f6r\u00fcngeye oturtmu\u015ftur, buna ilave olmak \u00fczere en az 3 uydu daha at\u0131lacakt\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece \u0130ran muhtemel bir ABD, \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 etkin bir erken uyar\u0131 sistemini olu\u015fturma yolunda olduk\u00e7a ciddi ad\u0131mlar atm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ruslar, g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc f\u00fczeleri ve lazer g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc bombalar\u0131 havada yok edebilecek ileri bir savunma sistemini \u0130ran&#8217;a satmak \u00fczere 1 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 imzalam\u0131\u015flard\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130srail, kurulu\u015fundan g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar \u00e7evre Arap \u00fclkeleri ile giri\u015filen sava\u015flarda ilk taarruz eden taraf olmu\u015ftur. 5 Haziran 1967 \u0130srail-M\u0131s\u0131r Sava\u015f\u0131&#8217;nda da \u0130srail, ilk sald\u0131ran taraf olmu\u015f ve hemen hemen t\u00fcm M\u0131s\u0131r Hava Kuvvetlerini yerde tahrip etmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Haziran 1981&#8217;de Irak&#8217;\u0131n OS\u0130RAK n\u00fckleer reakt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrpriz bir taarruzla yok etmi\u015ftir. \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer silahlara sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 avantajlar; \u0130ran&#8217;a uluslararas\u0131 diplomaside a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazand\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, art\u0131k \u0130ran, Ortado\u011fu&#8217;da ABD&#8217;de dahil olmak \u00fczere n\u00fckleer g\u00fcc\u00fc, diplomatik g\u00fcce d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrebilir, Irak&#8217;taki koalisyon g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin b\u00f6lgeden ayr\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 isteyebilir, aksi halde Suudi Arabistan ve \u0130srail&#8217;e n\u00fckleer taarruz kozunu oynayabilir, b\u00f6ylece n\u00fckleer tehlike uluslararas\u0131 boyut kazanabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Halen \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer bomba \u00fcretiminin hangi safhas\u0131nda oldu\u011fu bilinmemekle beraber, bu kabiliyeti kazanma yolunda b\u00fcy\u00fck mesafe kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilinmektedir. Tahran&#8217;\u0131n 1200 kilometre g\u00fcneybat\u0131s\u0131nda Bushehr&#8217;deki n\u00fckleer tesisler ve ona a\u011f\u0131r su sa\u011flayan Arak&#8217;taki tesisler \u00fcretime ge\u00e7mi\u015flerdir, bu verilere dayanarak \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n atom bombas\u0131 \u00fcretti\u011fini kabul etmek ak\u0131lc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Baz\u0131 bat\u0131l\u0131 kaynaklara g\u00f6re \u0130ran, Aral\u0131k 1991&#8217;de Kazaklardan ilk n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131 sat\u0131n alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, 40 kilo\/tonluk bu bombalar, SCUD tipi, karadan-karaya balistik f\u00fczelere tak\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 pakette al\u0131nan di\u011fer bombalar ise, M\u0130G u\u00e7aklar\u0131 ve 152 mm.lik toplardan at\u0131lmak \u00fczere programlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sistemler 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda harek\u00e2ta haz\u0131r hale getirilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130stihbarat bilgilerinin de\u011ferlendirilmesi sonucu \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n, n\u00fckleer bir taarruza haz\u0131r oldu\u011fu kanaatine var\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde, \u0130srail&#8217;in, \u0130ran&#8217;a sald\u0131rmas\u0131 geleneksel ilk sald\u0131ran stratejisinin do\u011fal bir sonucu olarak ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacakt\u0131r, esasen ba\u015fka bir se\u00e7enek de yoktur.<\/p>\n<p>Bunun i\u00e7in en uygun zaman; n\u00fckleer silah \u00fcretimine y\u00f6nelik \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n ba\u015fta Bushehr ve Arak olmak \u00fczere 300 de\u011fi\u015fik yerde bulunan tesislerine m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olan en k\u0131sa zamanda sald\u0131rmakt\u0131r, esasen \u0130srail, Iran n\u00fckleer kabiliyet kazanmadan ilk taarruz eden taraf olma karar\u0131n\u0131 hemen hemen alm\u0131\u015f gibidir.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130srail askeri kaynaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re, tehlike her zamankinden b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fcr. Tel Aviv&#8217;in n\u00fcfusu 2,5-3 milyondu e\u011fer \u0130ran, \u0130srail&#8217;e taarruz ederse ilk hedef Tel Aviv olacakt\u0131r, zira Kud\u00fcs, \u0130slam i\u00e7in de kutsal bir \u015fehirdir.<\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131da \u00e7e\u015fitli b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerde de belirtildi\u011fi gibi, n\u00fckleer taarruzun muhtelif \u015fekillerde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr, tahminler patlama an\u0131nda 300.000 insan\u0131n \u00f6lece\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130srail ekonomisinin de odak noktas\u0131 olan Tel Aviv&#8217;de ilk saniyelerde elektrik, su, muhabere sistemleri, devlet binalar\u0131 tahrip olacak ve radyasyon etkileri t\u00fcm \u00fclkeyi etkisi alt\u0131na alacakt\u0131r, di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle tek bir bomba \u0130srail&#8217;in bekas\u0131n\u0131 ciddi \u015fekilde etkileyecektir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130lk sald\u0131ran taraf\u0131n \u0130srail olmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r ve bu sald\u0131r\u0131 Ortado\u011fu&#8217;nun, mevcut siyasi ve askeri yap\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilebilir. Hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphe yok ki bug\u00fcnlerde onlarca muhtemel operasyon senaryolar\u0131 ABD ve \u0130srail askeri yetkililerince de\u011ferlendirilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Haz\u0131rl\u0131klar, \u0130ran&#8217;da n\u00fckleer faaliyetlerin h\u0131z kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 2004 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f ve ABD, \u0130srail&#8217;e kal\u0131n tahkimli beton duvarlar\u0131 delebilecek BLU-109 bombalar\u0131ndan 500 adet, 2000 Ib. ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 GPS g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc GBU-31 bombalar\u0131ndan da bilinmeyen adette teslim etmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu bombalar, uydulardan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedef koordinatlar\u0131 ile son derece isabetli vuru\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahiptirler ve d\u00f6rt metre kal\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki betona n\u00fcfuz edebilirler.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130srailli Siyonistler Korku Senaryolar\u0131 \u00dcretiyor:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130srail&#8217;in toplam n\u00fcfusunun yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131, kilometre kareye 7500 ki\u015finin d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131 TEL-AV\u0130V kentine, \u0130ran g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc Hizbullah&#8217;\u0131n canl\u0131 bombalar\u0131; trafik ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na engel olmamak i\u00e7in polis kontrol\u00fcn\u00fcn nispeten zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 sabah saat 09.00 sular\u0131nda: \u015eehrin 4bin modern binadan olu\u015fan BAUHAUS kompleksine s\u0131rt \u00e7antalar\u0131nda veya bir arac\u0131n bagaj\u0131nda ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131klar\u0131 150 kilo-ton&#8217;luk n\u00fckleer bombalar\u0131 patlat\u0131yor&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bu korkun\u00e7 infilakta canl\u0131 bombac\u0131lar ve ara\u00e7lar\u0131 an\u0131nda yok olaca\u011f\u0131ndan geriye hi\u00e7bir &#8220;delil&#8221; de kalm\u0131yor ve yetkililer bu sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n nerden geldi\u011fini kestiremiyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Ayn\u0131 G\u00fcn\u00fcn Sonunda Durum Ne Oluyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bir milyonun \u00fczerinde insan ilk saniyelerde yok oluyor 1-1,5 milyon insan da a\u011f\u0131r yaralan\u0131yor Ya\u015fl\u0131 ve gen\u00e7ler aras\u0131nda %25 yaral\u0131n\u0131n tedavileri haftalarca s\u00fcr\u00fcyor N\u00fckleer sald\u0131r\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 esasen e\u011fitimli personel ve gere\u00e7lerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmas\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131 daha da artt\u0131r\u0131yor Asans\u00f6rlerde, t\u00fcnellerde kalanlar\u0131n kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131 ve zaman\u0131nda t\u0131bbi m\u00fcdahale yap\u0131lmas\u0131 zorla\u015f\u0131yor. II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131&#8217;nda Hiro\u015fima ve Nagazaki&#8217;ye at\u0131lan atom bombalar\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 etkilerinin h\u00e2l\u00e2 devam etti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse, bu sald\u0131r\u0131dan kurtulanlar\u0131n da uzun y\u0131llar radyasyondan zarar g\u00f6rmeleri ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz Oluyor. Arazinin d\u00fcz olmas\u0131 nedeniyle kom\u015fu \u00fclkeler, \u00dcrd\u00fcn, M\u0131s\u0131r, L\u00fcbnan, Suriye, Irak, Suudi Arabistan ve T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin de i\u00e7erisinde yer ald\u0131klar\u0131 Ortado\u011fu&#8217;nun tamam\u0131 radyasyondan etkileniyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130\u015fte dramatik, karanl\u0131k, ancak tamamen bilimsel verilerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda \u00e7izilen ger\u00e7e\u011fe en yak\u0131n bu tabloyla \u0130srail halk\u0131 \u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor ve \u0130ran&#8217;a sald\u0131r\u0131 i\u00e7in psikolojik zemin ve gerek\u00e7e haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ran: &#8220;Atom bombas\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z iddias\u0131 yaland\u0131r&#8221; diyor. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran, The New York Times gazetesinin, \u2018&#8217;Tahran y\u00f6netimi, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir atom bombas\u0131 yapabilecek kadar n\u00fckleer materyal \u00fcretti&#8221; \u015feklindeki haberini yalanlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran, \u2018&#8217;k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir atom bombas\u0131 \u00fcretti\u011fi&#8221; y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberlerin ger\u00e7ekleri yans\u0131tmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u0130ran, The New York Times gazetesinin, \u2018&#8217;Tahran y\u00f6netimi, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir atom bombas\u0131 yapabilecek kadar n\u00fckleer materyal \u00fcretti&#8221; \u015feklindeki haberini yalanlad\u0131. Gazete, n\u00fckleer uzmanlar\u0131 kaynak g\u00f6stererek verdi\u011fi haberinde \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n sahip oldu\u011fu UF6 gaz\u0131 miktar\u0131n\u0131n \u2018&#8217;bomba yap\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in yeterli&#8221; oldu\u011funu aktarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Uluslararas\u0131 Atom Enerjisi Kurumu (UAEK), 19 Kas\u0131mdaki son raporunda \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 630 kilogram d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck miktarda zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f UF6 elde etti\u011fi bilgisi yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n UAEK Daimi Temsilcisi Ali Asker Sultaniye, kesin bir dille yalanlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberin \u2018&#8217;haks\u0131z ve siyasi i\u00e7erikli&#8221; oldu\u011funu belirterek. \u2018&#8217;N\u00fckleer tesislerimizdeki uranyum zenginle\u015ftirme faaliyetleri UAEK taraf\u0131ndan 24 saat kontrol ediliyor&#8221; ifadesini kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ranl\u0131 diplomat, \u2018&#8217;Tesislerdeki uranyum zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f konteynerler m\u00fch\u00fcrledi\u011fini ve UAEK kameralar\u0131nca izlendi\u011fini hat\u0131rlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>UEAK&#8217;n\u0131n son \u0130ran raporunda, \u2018&#8217;N\u00fckleer tesislerde ola\u011fan denetleme ve incelemelerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra haber vermeden 20 kez yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalarda \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n y\u00fczde 5&#8217;e yak\u0131n oranda uranyum zenginle\u015ftirebildi\u011fi tespit edildi&#8221; ifadesi kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Raporda ayr\u0131ca, \u2018&#8217;Son alt\u0131 y\u0131ldaki inceleme ve denetlemelerde \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer enerji program\u0131n\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l ama\u00e7lardan sapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve askeri oldu\u011funa dair hi\u00e7bir delile rastlanmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r&#8221; denilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Bu arada, ABD&#8217;nin UAEK&#8217;daki Daimi Temsilcisi Gregory Schulte de &#8220;\u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n atom bombas\u0131 yapmaya \u00e7ok yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131&#8221; iddia etmi\u015fti. Schulte&#8217;un: \u2018&#8217;ABD olarak \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131ndan kayg\u0131 duyuruyoruz&#8221; ifadesi dikkat \u00e7ekiciydi ve tehdit i\u00e7erikliydi. \u0130ran, ABD ve Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkelerin aksine, n\u00fckleer enerji program\u0131n\u0131n N\u00fckleer Silahlar\u0131n Yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00d6nlenmesi Anla\u015fmas\u0131 (NPT) \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde oldu\u011funu ve bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l ama\u00e7 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130ngiltere: &#8220;\u0130ran, d\u00fcnya i\u00e7in tehdittir&#8221; diyerek, olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131ya \u00e7anak tutuyor. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 David Miliband, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n d\u00fcnyaya \u00e7ok ciddi tehdit olmaya devam etti\u011fini belirterek, Tahran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer silahlar elde etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu&#8217;da silah yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtaca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yenilemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin kuzeyine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ziyaret s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 ile ilgili bir konu\u015fma yapan Miliband, bu sorunun bir an \u00f6nce \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fini belirterek, \u2018&#8217;Gelecek y\u0131lda k\u00fcresel d\u00fczene y\u00f6nelik en s\u0131k\u0131 tehdit \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n eylemlerinden gelecek. N\u00fckleer silahlara sahip olma konusunda uluslararas\u0131 kamuoyunun endi\u015felerini gidermeyi reddetmesi Orta Do\u011fu&#8217;da n\u00fckleer silah yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtacakt\u0131r&#8221; demi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Miliband, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n inat etmesi durumunda M\u0131s\u0131r, Suudi Arabistan, T\u00fcrkiye ve di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin de kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in n\u00fckleer silahlara ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeye mecbur kalabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen. \u0130ngiliz Bakan, &#8220;\u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n uranyum zenginle\u015ftirmeyi durdurmas\u0131 i\u00e7in daha fazla bask\u0131 yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini&#8221; kaydetmi\u015fti.<a name=\"_ftnref2\" href=\"#_ftn2\" title=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>  <\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><a name=\"_ftn1\" href=\"#_ftnref1\" title=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a> Kasta\u015f yy. 1. Bask\u0131 IST.2008<\/p>\n<p><a name=\"_ftn2\" href=\"#_ftnref2\" title=\"_ftn2\">[2]<\/a> Milli Gazete 23 Kas\u0131m 2008<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Hat\u0131rlanaca\u011f\u0131 gibi, bay Recep T. Erdo\u011fan ABD &#8220;umre&#8221;si sonras\u0131nda Hindistan&#8217;a gitmi\u015fti. Bu ziyaretin, &#8220;Yahudi Lobilerinin talimat\u0131yla yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Amerikan\u0131n \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na destek arand\u0131\u011f\u0131&#8221; \u015feklindeki tahminlerimiz ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Recep Ba\u015fbakan Hindistana bir &#8220;teklif&#8221;, bir de &#8220;tehdit&#8221;le g\u00f6nderilmi\u015fti.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Teklif: ABD&#8217;nin \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na dolayl\u0131 da olsa destek sa\u011flar, limanlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ve gerekirse \u00fcslerinizi kulland\u0131r\u0131rsan\u0131z, Bak\u00fc- Ceyhan \u00fczerinden \u0130srail Hayfa&#8217;ya ula\u015facak petrol ve do\u011fal gaz hatt\u0131n\u0131 Hindistan&#8217;a uzat\u0131r\u0131z. Sizde daha ba\u015fka imkan ve avantajlar sa\u011flar\u0131z.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ocak-2009"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1461","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1461"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1461\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1461"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1461"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1461"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}