{"id":1607,"date":"2009-07-25T14:15:58","date_gmt":"2009-07-25T14:15:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/2009\/07\/25\/israil-ve-abdnin-pakistan-pazarligi\/"},"modified":"2009-07-25T14:15:58","modified_gmt":"2009-07-25T14:15:58","slug":"israil-ve-abdnin-pakistan-pazarligi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/2009\/agustos-2009\/israil-ve-abdnin-pakistan-pazarligi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130SRA\u0130L VE ABD\u2019N\u0130N PAK\u0130STAN PAZARLI\u011eI"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/strong>ABD, Pakistan’\u0131 par\u00e7alama haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndayd\u0131!<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pakistan\u2019da, bir yandan Amerikan jetleri ve helikopterleri, bir yandan h\u00fck\u00fcmet g\u00fc\u00e7leri; masum \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n okudu\u011fu mektep ve medreseler dahil, Taliban bahanesiyle sivil halk\u0131n k\u00f6ylerine, yerle\u015fim merkezlerine \u00f6l\u00fcm ya\u011fd\u0131r\u0131yor ve d\u00fcnya susuyordu. ABD ve i\u015fbirlik\u00e7ileri, a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a toplumu devletten so\u011futup Pakistan\u2019\u0131 b\u00f6lmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD’nin yeni y\u00f6netimi Pakistan\u2019daki Svat Vadisi’nin \u00f6zel \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130slamabad’\u0131n \u015feriat uygulanmas\u0131 talebini olumlu kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131n\u0131n sebeplerini anlamak i\u00e7in en ufak \u00e7aba harcam\u0131yor, bu durumu ele\u015ftirmekte ve reddetmekte aceleci davran\u0131yordu. Obama y\u00f6netimi de \u00f6nceki y\u00f6netimler gibi \u0130slam fobisinden kurtulam\u0131yor; Svat Vadisi’nin ve genel \u015fekliyle Pakistan halk\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 anlam\u0131yordu. Dini \u00f6zelliklerinin somutla\u015fmas\u0131 talebinin sonucunda Hindistan’dan ayr\u0131lan Pakistan, \u201c\u0130slam’\u0131n siyasi olu\u015fum olarak kurulu\u015f gerek\u00e7esini olu\u015fturdu\u011fu\u201d tek devlet oluyordu. Svat Vadisi’nde ise Pakistan’\u0131n \u0130slam’a en ba\u011fl\u0131 halk\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yordu. Vadi n\u00fcfusunun Afganistan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndaki a\u015firet uzant\u0131s\u0131, Afgan taraf\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeleri olumlu veya olumsuz bi\u00e7imde etkiliyordu. N\u00fcfusu 22 milyon olan Pakistan’daki Pe\u015ftun a\u015firetleri, n\u00fcfusu 10 milyon olan Afgan Pe\u015ftunlar\u0131n\u0131n stratejik derinli\u011fini olu\u015fturuyordu. Bu durum iki \u00fclkedeki olaylar\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 etkile\u015fimini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yordu. Fakat yan\u0131t bekleyen soru \u015fuydu: ABD’nin kendi m\u00fcttefikine yapt\u0131klar\u0131, bu olaylar\u0131n \u00fclkenin par\u00e7alanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmemesinden mi kaynaklan\u0131yordu? Yoksa kas\u0131tl\u0131 olarak Pakistan\u2019\u0131 b\u00f6lmeye mi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu? Acaba ABD, Taliban ve Kaide’yi bitirmek bahanesiyle, onlara ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z devlet yolunu mu a\u00e7\u0131yordu? \u00dcst d\u00fczey bir Pakistanl\u0131 subay\u0131n, \u201cAmerikan politikalar\u0131n\u0131 Pakistan’\u0131 par\u00e7alama ama\u00e7l\u0131 Hint-Amerikan komplosu diye nitelemesi\u201d \u00fczerinde niye durulmuyordu? Oysa, bu komplo ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse Hindistan ve Amerika\u2019n\u0131n faturay\u0131 ilk \u00f6deyen \u00fclkeler olaca\u011f\u0131 unutuluyordu!. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Obama\u2019n\u0131n temsilcisi Richard Holbrooke, yeni stratejilerini anlat\u0131rken a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a Pakistan’a m\u00fcdahaleden dem vurmaktayd\u0131!<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cPakistan’a asker g\u00f6nderemeyiz. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir \u00fclke oras\u0131. Buna sayg\u0131 g\u00f6stermemiz l\u00e2z\u0131m. Ancak a\u015firetlerin egemen oldu\u011fu b\u00f6lgelerdeki durum giderek bozulursa, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri, \u0130ngiltere, Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler ve b\u00f6lgede n\u00fcfuzu olan di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin harekete ge\u00e7mesi l\u00e2z\u0131m.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span>ABD’de Barack Obama y\u00f6netiminin Afganistan ve Pakistan’da izleyece\u011fi politikay\u0131 g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmekle g\u00f6revlendirilen ki\u015filerden birisi ve Ba\u015fkan Obama’n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki \u00f6zel temsilcisi Richard Holbrooke bunlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyordu.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

BBC muhabiri Lyse Doucet, Holbrooke’a, Amerika’n\u0131n yeni stratejisinin neler i\u00e7erdi\u011fini sordu\u011funda:<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cKimileri Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri’nin Afganistan’daki hedeflerini daraltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Oysa ben, \u015fimdiye kadar a\u00e7\u0131klanan hedeflerin s\u00f6zde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bu hedefleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek programlarla desteklenmemi\u015f s\u00f6zlerdi bunlar. O y\u00fczden, \u015fimdi, ger\u00e7eklere bakal\u0131m diyorum. Daha \u00e7ok asker, daha \u00e7ok kaynak, daha y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyde ilgi. Gereksinim duyulanlar bunlar. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bunlar hep ihmal edildi. Bu sorunun \u00fczerinde odakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131z. Size ne ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvencesini verebilirim ne de ama\u00e7lad\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyi umdu\u011fumuz bir takvim. Ama \u015fimdiki Amerikan y\u00f6netiminin, d\u00fcnyadaki en g\u00fc\u00e7 sorunlardan birinde ba\u015far\u0131 elde etmek i\u00e7in elinden gelen her \u015feyi yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvencesini verebilirim\u201d <\/span>diyen Siyonist Yahudi Holbrooke, Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Afganistan ve Pakistan\u2019\u0131 par\u00e7alamak ve kontrol\u00fcne almak niyetlerini a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa vuruyordu.<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Beyaz Saray’\u0131n Pakistan planlar\u0131!<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD, 30 y\u0131l sonra benzeri bir yol ayr\u0131m\u0131ndayd\u0131. \u015eimdi s\u0131rada \u0130ran de\u011fil Pakistan vard\u0131. 30 y\u0131l \u00f6nce \u0130ran \u015eah\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 bir devrimle \u00e7alkalan\u0131rken Amerikal\u0131lar ne yapacaklar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. ABD’nin dayatmalar\u0131 ve \u015eah’\u0131n halk\u0131na \u00fcstten bakmas\u0131 ve yanl\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131 bir devrimi mayalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Devrimi tetikleyenler onu durduracak mekanizmay\u0131 bulamam\u0131\u015flard\u0131. Hala da ABD \u0130ran\u2019la nas\u0131l ili\u015fki t\u00fcr\u00fc kuraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bulamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Devrim s\u0131ras\u0131nda ABD’nin d\u00fcmeninde Carter ve Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Zbigniev Brzezinski bulunmaktayd\u0131. Bunlara ilaveten \u015fu anki Savunma Bakan\u0131 Bop Gates ve Richard Holbrooke, o d\u00f6nemde de vard\u0131. O d\u00f6nemde \u0130ran devriminin mayalanmas\u0131n\u0131 izlemi\u015fler ve seyirci durumunda kalm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. \u015eimdi de yine kendi elleriyle kabartt\u0131klar\u0131 bir Pakistan meselesiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layalard\u0131. Onlar ka\u015f\u0131d\u0131k\u00e7a Pakistan daha fazla kontrol edilemez noktaya ta\u015f\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ve her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn Pakistanl\u0131lar, \u201cnizam-\u0131 Mustafa\u201d ad\u0131n\u0131 verdikleri ve \u00f6zlemini \u00e7ektikleri sisteme daha \u00e7ok yakla\u015fmaktayd\u0131. Pakistan, Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtmalar\u0131 sonucunda birbiriyle \u00e7arp\u0131\u015fan bir \u00fclke halini alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130ran Devrimi’nden 30 y\u0131l sonra Pakistan’\u0131n da Taliban’\u0131n eline d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Amerikan ordusu anti ter\u00f6r dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131ndan biri olan David Kilcullen’e g\u00f6re, Pakistan’da derin bir devrim mayalan\u0131yordu.\u00a0 <\/span>Bunlara g\u00f6re, \u201cPakistan devleti 6 ay i\u00e7inde ayaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u00f6kebilir\u201d deniyordu. Bu hususta iki varsay\u0131m \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu. Birincisine g\u00f6re, iktidar \u0130slamc\u0131lar\u0131n ve daha somut tabiriyle Taliban’\u0131n\u0131n eline ge\u00e7iyordu. \u0130kinci ihtimale g\u00f6re de Pakistan par\u00e7alan\u0131yor ve de Somali durumuna d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyordu. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Art\u0131k Zerdari ayaklar\u0131 \u00fczerine duram\u0131yor ve Nevaz \u015eerif ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilek g\u00fcre\u015fini kaybediyordu. Zerdari’nin pop\u00fclerli\u011fi, destek taban\u0131 giderek d\u00fc\u015ferken Nevaz \u015eerif’in destek taban\u0131 y\u00fczde 80’lerde seyrediyor ve \u00f6nce onu tutuklamaya yeltenen h\u00fck\u00fcmet \u015fimdi ondan yard\u0131m istiyor ve ortakl\u0131k teklif ediyordu. Obama\u2019n\u0131n kafas\u0131nda hep Pakistan vard\u0131 ve Beyaz Saray’da g\u00fcndemsiz toplanan Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi, Pakistan’\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyordu. Raporu bizzat Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mullen okuyor: Karamsar bir tablo \u00e7iziyor, Pakistan’da durumun sistematik olarak geriledi\u011fini ve durumun vahim oldu\u011funu ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcyordu. Mullen’in teklifi ve tavsiyesi ise; \u201cPakistan y\u00f6netiminin tehlikeye kar\u015f\u0131 (\u0130slamc\u0131lar) daha sald\u0131rgan olmas\u0131yd\u0131.\u201d. Bu ba\u011flamda, Amerikan y\u00f6netimi i\u015fi orduya havale ediyordu. Ama bunu yaparken de Pakistanl\u0131lar nezdinde Amerikan imaj\u0131n\u0131n daha da zay\u0131flamas\u0131ndan korkuyordu. Ya da \u0130slamc\u0131larla \u00e7arp\u0131\u015f\u0131rken ordunun Zerdari’yi devirmesini arzu etmiyordu. \u0130\u015fte bu \u00f6nemli toplant\u0131n\u0131n ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 Davos arbedesinin mimar\u0131 David Ignatius k\u00f6\u015fesinde yaz\u0131yordu:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201c30 y\u0131l sonra ABD’nin bu defa \u0130ran de\u011fil Pakistan kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yol ayr\u0131m\u0131na geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Burada \u00e7ok ince ayar bir m\u00fcdahale isteniyor. Nazenin demokrasiyi h\u0131rpalamadan ya\u011fdan k\u0131l \u00e7eker gibi \u0130slamc\u0131lar\u0131 ay\u0131klamak. 04 May\u0131s 2009 tarihli ‘Moment of Truth in Pakistan’ ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131nda Ignatius, Carter’\u0131n 1979’da \u0130ran’da kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131yla Obama’n\u0131n 2009’da yani 30 y\u0131l sonra kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n benzer oldu\u011funu yaz\u0131yor. Mullen, Pakistan Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 E\u015ffak Kiyani’ye kendilerinden yard\u0131m istenmesi halinde buna haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 vermi\u015f. Bununla birlikte, Pakistan halk\u0131 ne 11 Eyl\u00fcl resmi rivayetiyle alakal\u0131 ne de Taliban’\u0131n \u00fclkenin ger\u00e7ek tehdidi oldu\u011fuyla alakal\u0131 Amerikan fikirlerine itibar ediyor. Hatta taraflar\u0131n g\u00fcndemi \u00e7ok farkl\u0131. S\u00f6zgelimi, ABD’nin etkisini azaltmak istedi\u011fi Pakistan \u0130stihbarat Te\u015fkilat\u0131’n\u0131n (ISI) Pakistan ve Afganistan Taliban hareketleri aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011flant\u0131y\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu y\u00f6nde bir dosya haz\u0131rlayan Der Spiegel dergisi bir \u0130ngiliz yetkilinin \u015fu s\u00f6zlerine yer veriyor: Pakistan bizim endi\u015fe ve \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 payla\u015fm\u0131yor. Hindistan’a yak\u0131nl\u0131k g\u00f6steren Karzai Pakistan’da sevilmiyor. Ayr\u0131ca \u0130ngiltere, ABD ve NATO Afganistan’da istenmiyor.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

ABD ve \u0130ngiltere, Zerdari ile Karzai’yi kucakla\u015ft\u0131rmaya ve ikisini de Hindistan’la dost yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken T\u00fcrkiye’de de benzeri bir politikay\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Azerileri b\u0131rak, Ermenilere bak\u201d tembih ve tavsiyesi yap\u0131yor diyen Mustafa \u00d6zcan \u00d6nemli tespitlerde bulunuyordu.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Netanyahu\u2019nun: \u201c\u0130srail, Golan’dan \u00e7ekilmeyecek\u201d \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Pakistan yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu, \u201c\u00fclkesinin Golan Tepelerinden asla \u00e7ekilmeyece\u011fini\u201d s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. Netanyahu, \u0130srail’de Rus\u00e7a yay\u0131mlanan bas\u0131n kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n temsilcilerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve baz\u0131 internet sitelerinde yay\u0131mlanan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, “Golan’da kalmak, Suriye ile olas\u0131 bir askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada \u0130srail a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan stratejik avantajlar sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r” demi\u015fti. Netanyahu, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Barack Obama ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinde de \u0130srail’in g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik \u00f6nemde g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc konularda \u0131srarl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirmi\u015fti. Obama’ya Orta Do\u011fu bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcnde en b\u00fcy\u00fck engel olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u0130ran ve n\u00fckleer program\u0131 sorununu \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlemenin gereklili\u011fini anlataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Netanyahu, “\u0130ran n\u00fckleer bir g\u00fcce d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrse, b\u00fct\u00fcn Arap \u00fclkelerini m\u00fcttefik olmaya zorlar; \u0130srail’i yok etmek isteyen a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u0130ran rejimi, Arap \u00fclkelerinin \u0130srail’le ili\u015fkilerini normalle\u015ftirmesine m\u00fcsaade etmez” diyen Netanyahu, ancak Rusya’n\u0131n \u0130ran’a silah sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131 bir hata olarak de\u011ferlendirmi\u015fti. Netanyahu\u2019nun, \u201cPakistan\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n\u0131n Taliban\u2019\u0131n eline ge\u00e7me tehlikesine\u201d dikkat \u00e7ekmesi ise ilgin\u00e7ti ve \u0130srail\u2019in Pakistan\u2019la ilgili gizli g\u00fcndeminin ipu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 vermekteydi.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD’nin uykular\u0131n\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131ran \u00fclke, Pakistan\u2019d\u0131!<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya dengelerini de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek ilgin\u00e7 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7en ve patlamaya haz\u0131r bir bomba gibi bekleyen bir \u00fclke vard\u0131. O \u00fclke Pakistan\u2019d\u0131. Durum \u015f\u00f6yle: Taliban \u00fclkede her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor, hatta bir ara ba\u015fkent \u0130slamabad’\u0131n 100 km kuzeyine kadar yakla\u015f\u0131yordu. Pakistan y\u00f6netimi ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zd\u0131 ve Ba\u015fbakan Zerdari zordayd\u0131. Bu nedenle acilen bir \u015feyler yap\u0131lmas\u0131 laz\u0131md\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Pakistan’da ‘bir \u015feyler yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerek’ c\u00fcmlesi ‘darbe’ olarak alg\u0131lan\u0131rd\u0131. Zaten kontrol\u00fc ba\u015fka t\u00fcrl\u00fc sa\u011flamak neredeyse imk\u00e2ns\u0131zd\u0131. Sallanan bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet ve Taliban varken ordunun y\u00f6netime el koymas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 epey fazlayd\u0131. \u0130\u015fte bu nedenle Washington’da son g\u00fcnlerde endi\u015feli toplant\u0131lar yap\u0131lmaktayd\u0131. ABD, ordunun y\u00f6netime el koymas\u0131ndan ve istihbarat servisinin de g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131ndan endi\u015fe duymaktayd\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc, Pakistan istihbarat servisi Taliban ile yak\u0131n ili\u015fki i\u00e7inde bulunmaktayd\u0131. Bu da bir yandan Taliban’\u0131 sindirmek i\u00e7in darbe yap\u0131l\u0131rken, di\u011fer yandan \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maktayd\u0131. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cPakistan n\u00fckleer g\u00fcce sahip bir \u00fclkedir. Oradaki her hangi bir otorite bo\u015flu\u011fu Taliban’\u0131n bu g\u00fcce ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Taliban ve yard\u0131mla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 El Kaide’nin n\u00fckleer g\u00fcce eri\u015fmesi korkun\u00e7 bir tehlikedir!\u201d iddialar\u0131n\u0131 \u0130srail bir koz olarak kullanmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Mevcut durum bu iken ABD Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mike Mullen birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6nce Ankara’ya gelmi\u015fti. 25 Nisan ak\u015fam\u0131 Orgeneral \u0130lker Ba\u015fbu\u011f ile ba\u015f ba\u015fa yakla\u015f\u0131k 3 saat g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp, ard\u0131ndan da Kabil’e gitmi\u015fti. Temaslardaki ana konu: Afganistan’a asker say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, Pakistan ve Afganistan’daki Taliban odaklar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fbirli\u011fi i\u00e7inde yok edilmesiydi. Ancak bu strateji ba\u015ftan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yanl\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7ermekteydi: ABD iki \u00fclkeyi birbirine ba\u011flayarak i\u00e7inden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmaz hale getirmekte ve adeta ikinci bir Vietnam yaratma yolunda ilerlemekteydi.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Mullen b\u00f6lgedeki izlenimlerini ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Obama’ya iletmi\u015fti. O g\u00fcnden beri Beyaz Saray tedirgindir. Taliban’\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00e2bus senaryolar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme gelmi\u015fti. Bu gidi\u015fle ABD Irak’tan \u00e7\u0131kmadan, bir de Afganistan-Pakistan bata\u011f\u0131na saplanacak gibiydi. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Ba\u015fta s\u00f6yledi\u011fimiz gibi; Pakistan ya i\u00e7 sava\u015fa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenip par\u00e7alanacak, ya da askeri darbe ya\u015fanacakt\u0131. Bu \u00fclkenin n\u00fckleer bombaya sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131 bahane eden ABD geli\u015fmeleri yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rma bahanesiyle, s\u00fcrekli k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Afganistan’da 7 y\u0131ll\u0131k Amerikan i\u015fgaline ra\u011fmen Taliban h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015f ve neredeyse \u00fclkenin d\u00f6rtte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fc kontrol etmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Afganistan’da yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin ve ABD ile NATO’nun bu \u00fclkeye y\u00f6nelik planlar\u0131n\u0131n hi\u00e7bir anlam\u0131 olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Afganistan-Pakistan ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Hindistan denklemini \u00e7\u00f6zmeyen bir Obama do\u011fal olarak \u0130ran konusunda ciddi bir ad\u0131m atamayacakt\u0131r. Pakistan, Afganistan ve Irak’a kom\u015fu bir \u0130ran; Suriye ve L\u00fcbnan \u00fczerinden Ortado\u011fu b\u00f6lgesindeki hesaplar\u0131na zarar\u0131 dokunacak bir ABD plan\u0131na yaln\u0131z bu co\u011frafyada de\u011fil ayn\u0131 zamanda Pakistan- Afganistan alanlar\u0131nda da kar\u015f\u0131 koyacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ise bu olup bitenlerle yak\u0131ndan alakal\u0131d\u0131r ve k\u0131r\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan son halkad\u0131r. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ve Pakistan i\u00e7in tehlike \u00e7anlar\u0131<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pakistan bug\u00fcn i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu durum itibariyle g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Afganistan ve Irak\u2019tan daha tehlikeli bir \u00fclke haline gelmi\u015f bulunuyor. Peki, Pakistan\u2019da neler d\u00f6n\u00fcyor? ABD, NATO, ISAF ve Pakistan Ordusu\u2019nun sekiz y\u0131ldan bu yana s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sava\u015fa ra\u011fmen Taliban neden ve nas\u0131l g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor?<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Pakistan, 60 y\u0131ll\u0131k k\u0131sa tarihinin en sanc\u0131l\u0131 ve kritik d\u00f6nemini ya\u015f\u0131yor. Bir yandan Taliban ve \u015fiddetle m\u00fccadele, di\u011fer yandan Amerika\u2019n\u0131n artan bask\u0131lar\u0131 ve beklentilerini kar\u015f\u0131lamaya y\u00f6nelik \u00e7abalar, Afganistan ve Hindistan\u2019la devam eden gerginlikler, m\u00fc\u015ferref sonras\u0131 devam eden siyasi istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k, s\u0131k aral\u0131klarla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen mezhep \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131, sahip oldu\u011fu n\u00fckleer silahlarla ilgili uluslararas\u0131 kamuoyundan gelen bask\u0131lar ve t\u00fcm bu sorunlar\u0131n \u00fcstesinden gelebilecek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir lider ve iktidar eksikli\u011fi Pakistan\u2019\u0131 k\u0131yamete do\u011fru ad\u0131m ad\u0131m yakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Pakistan\u2019\u0131n ABD ad\u0131na y\u00fcr\u00fctm\u00fc\u015f oldu\u011fu a\u015f\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131kla sava\u015f, \u0130slamabad kap\u0131lar\u0131na dayanm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor. Sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 Bunner ve Dir b\u00f6lgeleri \u0130slamad\u2019a sadece 100 km uzakl\u0131kta. Pakistan\u2019\u0131n Swat\u2019ta ortaya koydu\u011fu \u015eeriat a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m\u0131, Zerdari\u2019nin bu konuda samimi olmay\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Amerikan\u2019\u0131n Pakistan \u00fczerinde artan bask\u0131lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa u\u011fram\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Swat ve Weziristan b\u00f6lgesinde gerginlik her ge\u00e7en saat daha da art\u0131yor. Pakistan \u00f6zel temsilcisi Hollbrooke taraf\u0131ndan \u201cPakistan kaybedilmi\u015f bir \u00fclke de\u011fildir. T\u00fcm irademizle Pakistan\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131nday\u0131z\u201d \u015feklinde bir a\u00e7\u0131klama, Pakistan\u2019\u0131 Taliban\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 kapsaml\u0131 bir sava\u015fa haz\u0131rlama ve motive etmeye y\u00f6nelik oldu\u011fu \u015fimdi daha iyi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Obama\u2019n\u0131n Karzai ve Zerdari\u2019yi ABD\u2019de bir araya getirmesi, Pakistan Ordusunun alarma ge\u00e7irilmesi, b\u00f6lgede uzun s\u00fcrecek ve \u00e7ok kanl\u0131 ge\u00e7ecek bir hesapla\u015fman\u0131n habercisiydi. Pakistanl\u0131 yetkililerin Swat\u2019ta ya\u015fayan sivil halktan b\u00f6lgeyi bo\u015faltmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131 da bunu g\u00f6stermekteydi. Gerek Taliban gerek Pakistan Ordusu kent sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n da ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi b\u00f6lgeye k\u0131yameti ya\u015fatacak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sava\u015f\u0131n sadece piyonlar\u0131 oldu\u011funu hala fark etmiyor.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Taliban neden ve nas\u0131l g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131? <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Afganistan ve Pakistan\u2019da yabanc\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Taliban\u2019\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren en \u00f6nemli unsur. Pakistan\u2019\u0131n weziristan b\u00f6lgesindeki k\u00f6ylere dron denilen insans\u0131z u\u00e7aklarla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen sald\u0131r\u0131larda sivillerin de ya\u015famlar\u0131n\u0131 yitirmesi Amerikan kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u015fiddeti daha da k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor. Bu sald\u0131ralar ve artan sivil kay\u0131plar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir reaksiyon yaratarak direni\u015fi daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00f6lgede can ve mal kayb\u0131na u\u011frayan yerel halk Taliban saflar\u0131na kay\u0131yor. \u015eiddetin yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 weziristan b\u00f6lgesinde ya\u015fayan halk a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak Pe\u015ftunlardan olu\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Muhafazak\u00e2r ve tutucu bir toplum olan Pe\u015ftunlar aras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan kan davalar\u0131 babadan o\u011fula miras kal\u0131r ve aradan y\u0131llar da ge\u00e7se asla unutulmaz. Bu anlamda Amerika asl\u0131nda Pakistan ve Afganistan\u2019da bilmedi\u011fi, tan\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015fmanla sava\u015f\u0131yor. Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Pakistan ve Afganistan\u2019da f\u00fctursuzca ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi t\u00fcm sald\u0131r\u0131lar Taliban\u2019\u0131 daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor ve taraftar kazand\u0131r\u0131yor. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle Taliban b\u00f6lgedeki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc Amerikan varl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan ve sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131ndan al\u0131yor ve bununla besleniyor. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Taliban\u2019\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren di\u011fer \u00f6nemli bir etken ise Pakistan\u2019da bug\u00fcn say\u0131lar\u0131 20.000\u2019i bulan medreselerdir. Afganistan\u2019daki kom\u00fcnist i\u015fgali s\u00fcresince Pakistan\u2019daki medreseler gerek Pakistan \u0130stihbarat\u0131 (ISI) gerekse CIA taraf\u0131ndan Afganistan\u2019da s\u00fcren m\u00fccadeleye sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131 kazand\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla \u00fcs olarak kullan\u0131ld\u0131lar. Rus \u0130\u015fgalinin sona ermesi ve 2001 y\u0131l\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen Amerikan i\u015fgalinin ard\u0131ndan CIA ve ISI\u2019\u0131n hedefi haline gelen bu medreselerdeki \u00f6\u011frencilerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131 kendilerini bir gecede Guantonamo\u2019da buldular. Birbirinden ay\u0131rt edilmeksizin hedef al\u0131nmalar\u0131 medreseleri b\u00fcy\u00fck bir oranda radikalle\u015ftirdi ve Taliban saflar\u0131na itti. Bug\u00fcn itibariyle medreselerin Taliban\u2019\u0131 besleyen ve b\u00fcy\u00fcten ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck etken oldu\u011funu rahatl\u0131kla s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Taliban\u2019\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00f6nemli etken ise Afgan ve Pakistan h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerine duyulan g\u00fcvenin ortadan kalkm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Karzai ve Zerdari, Afganistan ve Pakistan kamuoyu taraf\u0131ndan Amerika\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki kuklalar\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlanmakta ve Amerikan \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na hizmet etmekle su\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131rlar. H\u00fck\u00fcmetlere kar\u015f\u0131 kaybolan toplumsal g\u00fcven Taliban\u2019\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren \u00f6nemli bir etken olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f bulunmaktad\u0131r. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Yine bu y\u00f6nde belirtilmesi gereken di\u011fer \u00f6nemli bir etken ise ba\u015fta ABD olmak \u00fczere i\u015fgal g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin \u0130slam\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fckleri y\u00f6n\u00fcnde izlenim yaratm\u0131\u015f olmalar\u0131d\u0131r. Afganistan\u2019da bulunan Bagram \u00fcss\u00fcnde g\u00f6rev yapan Amerikan g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin Pe\u015ftu ve Dari dillerinde bas\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u0130ncillerle g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclenmeleri ve kimi okullarda bu \u0130ncillerin da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde gelen bilgiler bu y\u00f6ndeki iddialar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmi\u015f bulunuyor. Yine ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l i\u00e7inde Afganistan\u2019da H\u0131ristiyanl\u0131k propagandas\u0131 yapan 23 G\u00fcney Koreli misyonerin Taliban taraf\u0131ndan ka\u00e7\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve if\u015fa edilmi\u015f olmas\u0131, b\u00f6lge halk\u0131nda \u0130slam\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir sava\u015f izlenimi yaratmakta ve b\u00f6lge halk\u0131n\u0131 Taliban\u2019\u0131n saflar\u0131na itmektedir. Bu izlenimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren son ad\u0131m ise NATO Genel Sekreterli\u011fine Rasmussen\u2019in getirilmesiyle at\u0131lm\u0131\u015f oldu. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

B\u00f6lgede huzur ve istikrar nas\u0131l sa\u011flan\u0131r? <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

1- B\u00f6lgede giderek artan \u015fiddetin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclebilmesinin ve ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131labilmesinin en \u00f6nemli \u015fart\u0131 yabanc\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin b\u00f6lgeden \u00e7ekilmesi ve yerini b\u00f6lge ile \u0130K\u00d6 gibi doku uyumu bulunan g\u00fc\u00e7lere b\u0131rakmas\u0131d\u0131r. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

2- Yine Pakistan\u2019da bulunan medreselerin kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 uzla\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde ve g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz \u015fartlar\u0131 ve ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde \u0131slah edilmeleri \u015fartt\u0131r. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

3- Askeri y\u00f6ntemler tek \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yolu olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmal\u0131, diyalog ve uzla\u015f\u0131 se\u00e7ene\u011fi de masada her zaman haz\u0131r tutulmal\u0131d\u0131r. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

4- B\u00f6lge halk\u0131 ve Taliban nezdinde sayg\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan ulema ve kanaat \u00f6nderleri devreye sokulmal\u0131d\u0131r. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

5- Pakistan\u2019\u0131n siyasi istikrara kavu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc kalk\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 da s\u00fcrece olumlu katk\u0131da bulunacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

6- Erbakan \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde kurulan D-8\u2019lerin canland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tarihi rol\u00fcne sahip \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, b\u00f6lge bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n teminat\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Pakistan ku\u015fatma alt\u0131ndayd\u0131! <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pakistan kendi i\u00e7inde bu s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131larla bo\u011fu\u015furken biraz daha y\u00fckse\u011fe \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p b\u00f6lgeye ku\u015f bak\u0131\u015f\u0131 bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Pakistan\u2019\u0131n bir istikrars\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rma politikas\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya ve ku\u015fatma alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir. Sahip oldu\u011fu n\u00fckleer silahlar; Pakistan\u2019\u0131 Hindistan, \u0130srail ve ABD i\u00e7in ortak d\u00fc\u015fman pozisyonuna getirmi\u015ftir. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Hindistan, Pakistan\u2019\u0131 istikrars\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rarak, kendisi i\u00e7in en \u00f6nemli tehdit sayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 n\u00fckleer yetene\u011fini tesirsiz hale getirmenin \u00e7abas\u0131 i\u00e7erisindedir. Hindistan Afganistan\u2019\u0131n Pakistan\u2019a yak\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131r b\u00f6lgelerinde temsilcilikler a\u00e7arak ajanlar\u0131 vas\u0131tas\u0131yla \u00f6zellikle Belucistan eyaletinde karga\u015fay\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fcklemekte ve buradaki ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 hareketleri destekleyerek provakatif suikastlar d\u00fczenlemektedir. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Asl\u0131nda, n\u00fckleer silahlar Hindistan\u2019dan daha \u00e7ok, \u0130srail i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir tehdit olarak de\u011ferlendirilmektedir. \u0130srailli istihbarat kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019dan daha \u00e7ok Pakistan\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131ndan \u00e7ekindikleri y\u00f6n\u00fcnde a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 bilinmektedir. Hindistan ve \u0130srail\u2019in uzun s\u00fcreden bu yana Pakistan\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer yetene\u011fini ortadan kald\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik ortak i\u015fbirli\u011fi s\u00fcrmektedir. Bu y\u00f6nde at\u0131lan son ad\u0131m Hindistan\u2019\u0131n \u0130srail yap\u0131m\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma uydusunun ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz aylarda uzaya g\u00f6nderilmesidir. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste koyunca Pakistan\u2019\u0131n bug\u00fcn kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bunal\u0131m ve tehdidi alg\u0131lamak daha kolay hale gelmektedir. \u0130nsan\u0131 \u00fcmitsizli\u011fe d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren ise Pakistan\u2019\u0131 bu ku\u015fatmadan ve bunal\u0131mlardan \u00e7\u0131karacak bir liderin ve h\u00fck\u00fcmetin mevcut siyasi arenada hen\u00fcz g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemesidir. Bunal\u0131m\u0131n derinle\u015fmesi ise yeni bir askeri darbeyi mutlak surette tetikleyecektir. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 ABD, Pakistan’\u0131 par\u00e7alama haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndayd\u0131! Pakistan\u2019da, bir yandan Amerikan jetleri ve helikopterleri, bir yandan h\u00fck\u00fcmet g\u00fc\u00e7leri; masum \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n okudu\u011fu mektep ve medreseler dahil, Taliban bahanesiyle sivil halk\u0131n k\u00f6ylerine, yerle\u015fim merkezlerine \u00f6l\u00fcm ya\u011fd\u0131r\u0131yor ve d\u00fcnya susuyordu. ABD ve i\u015fbirlik\u00e7ileri, a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a toplumu devletten so\u011futup Pakistan\u2019\u0131 b\u00f6lmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. ABD’nin yeni y\u00f6netimi Pakistan\u2019daki Svat Vadisi’nin \u00f6zel \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130slamabad’\u0131n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[99],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-agustos-2009"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1607","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1607"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1607\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1607"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1607"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.millicozum.com\/mc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1607"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}